Description

This analysis provides a forecast of UNI7083 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-20 5.577426 6.190107 6.879440 7.720414 8.729784 9.917004e+00 11.441731
2024-10-27 4.676395 5.459400 6.415175 7.696062 9.414889 1.171827e+01 15.188206
2024-11-03 4.179475 5.091702 6.286747 8.032971 10.649279 1.468428e+01 22.053912
2024-11-10 3.786342 4.777741 6.156506 8.332826 11.955355 1.842533e+01 33.297684
2024-11-17 3.330138 4.301826 5.709332 8.056295 12.284882 2.080000e+01 45.097915
2024-11-24 3.037155 4.011547 5.479419 8.064719 13.126201 2.480453e+01 69.192244
2024-12-01 2.773670 3.727756 5.210449 7.941524 13.683693 2.872108e+01 107.602531
2024-12-08 2.532675 3.448654 4.906221 7.686555 13.880806 3.199796e+01 166.329221
2024-12-15 2.365200 3.264819 4.732503 7.639695 14.550312 3.764423e+01 334.133979
2024-12-22 2.211244 3.086221 4.543134 7.521444 15.010850 4.337660e+01 829.159921
2024-12-29 2.165429 3.077292 4.647673 8.034336 17.447133 6.320408e+01 NaN
2025-01-05 2.033027 2.911317 4.445882 7.833922 17.693235 7.220520e+01 NaN
2025-01-12 1.938580 2.806584 4.355055 7.893583 18.935333 9.481320e+01 NaN
2025-01-19 1.838486 2.684269 4.217765 7.819314 19.725086 1.201118e+02 NaN
2025-01-26 1.787111 2.642782 4.233020 8.130497 22.285895 2.005353e+02 NaN
2025-02-02 1.736316 2.597605 4.234999 8.412443 25.077892 3.817904e+02 NaN
2025-02-09 1.640511 2.463636 4.040248 8.117268 24.924472 4.796855e+02 NaN
2025-02-16 1.577568 2.385662 3.954955 8.116205 26.383091 8.985748e+02 NaN
2025-02-23 1.510041 2.294636 3.833050 7.985676 27.074061 1.661072e+03 NaN
2025-03-02 1.438321 2.191540 3.676388 7.724728 26.833073 2.601203e+03 NaN
2025-03-09 1.387648 2.125091 3.593699 7.675030 27.963528 1.226270e+04 NaN
2025-03-16 1.335860 2.053542 3.493719 7.554354 28.570782 3.848585e+07 NaN
2025-03-23 1.329541 2.068135 3.586209 8.069598 34.666908 NaN NaN